La Dirección de Economía y Planificación ha corregido a la baja las previsiones de crecimiento del PIB vasco publicadas el pasado diciembre y ha situado la variación del PIB el presente año en un -1,3%, en un perfil de desaceleración que mejorará lentamente a partir del tercer trimestre. La demanda interna muestra una gran debilidad y la externa seguirá aportando décimas al PIB, pero en cantidades cada vez menores por la falta de ritmo de los países del entorno. Boletín abril (pdf, 301 KB) (30/03/2012) Índice: ECONOMÍA VASCA La economía vasca se contraerá un 1,3% en 2012 (pdf, 44KB) Euskadi recuperó posiciones en el ranking de regiones europeas de 2009 (pdf, 22KB) Los hogares vascos se sienten vulnerables ante el devenir económico (pdf, 34KB) Febrero registró el diferencial de precios más favorable a Euskadi de la historia (pdf, 22KB) ENTORNO ECONOMICO Algunos indicadores adelantados de Europa cambian de signo (pdf, 52KB) El deterioro de la actividad económica frena el comercio mundial (pdf, 35KB) Anexo estadístico (pdf, 70KB)
Coyuntura en un Clic La Unión Europea creció un 0,9% en el cuarto trimestre de 2011, medio punto menos que el trimestre anterior. La economía vasca se sitúa en la misma línea de menor crecimiento que el resto de Europa y en el tramo final del pasado año tan solo pudo aumentar su PIB en un 0,2%, cuatro décimas menos que en el tercer trimestre. Por sectores, tan solo los servicios de mercado consiguieron aumentar su valor añadido, al tiempo que la industria muestra una notable pérdida de impulso, ligada a un entorno menos dinámico y a un empeoramiento de las expectativas. Boletín marzo (pdf, 294 KB) (01/03/2012) Índice: ECONOMÍA VASCA La economía vasca redujo su ritmo de crecimiento en el cuarto trimestre, hasta el 0,2% (pdf, 37KB) En 2011, la economía vasca siguió destruyendo empleo (pdf, 39KB) El comercio vasco con el extranjero cerró 2011 con un balance muy positivo (pdf, 21KB) Los precios de consumo aumentaron un 2,0% en enero (pdf, 21KB) ENTORNO ECONOMICO Europa disminuyó su ritmo de crecimiento hasta el 0,9% (pdf, 37KB) La Comisión Europea muestra un claro pesimismo respecto al crecimiento de 2012 (pdf, 31KB) Anexo estadístico (pdf, 71KB) sp;
Tasas interanuales de crecimiento del PIB del 0,2 para la economía vasca y cierre del año en el 0,6,
???????????? Eurozone sees stronger rate of decline at start of second quarter ? Global economic growth slipped in March, according to PMI surveys, but the first quarter still saw the strongest expansion for a year. US, UK and Japanese upturns in Q1 contrasted with signs of recession in the Eurozone and growth hitting a three-year low in China. The upturn is also feeding through to the labour market, with March seeing the strongest worldwide payroll growth for a year, though job gains have been largely focused in the US. Despite higher oil prices, global price pressures remained far weaker than a year ago due to weak demand, boding well for inflation. A free chart-based PowerPoint overview of Markit's latest economic indicators is available for download. The Markit Eurozone PMI? Composite Output Index fell to a five-month low in April, according to the preliminary 'flash' reading which is based on around 85% of usual monthly replies. The index fell for the third month in a row to 47.4, down from 49.1 in March, to signal a faster rate of decline of private sector economic activity. Output has fallen seven times in the past eight months. Markit (Flash) Eurozone PMI and GDP ? Output fell at the fastest rates for five months in both manufacturing and services, with the former seeing the steeper rate of decline. By country, growth slowed to only a very modest pace in Germany, showing the weakest expansion in the current five-month sequence as weak service sector growth was offset by a sharp decline in manufacturing output. France meanwhile saw output fall for the second month in a row, with the rate of decline accelerating to the fastest since October ? ? ?
?Global economy grows at fastest pace for a year in first quarter 13 April 2012 Global economic growth slipped in March, according to PMI surveys, but the first quarter still saw the strongest expansion for a year. US, UK and Japanese upturns in Q1 contrasted with signs of recession in the Eurozone and growth hitting a three-year low in China. The upturn is also feeding through to the labour market, with March seeing the strongest worldwide payroll growth for a year, though job gains have been largely focused in the US. Despite higher oil prices, global price pressures remained far weaker than a year ago due to weak demand, boding well for inflation. ? Sources: Markit, JP Morgan, HSBC, ISM, EcoWin. A free chart-based PowerPoint overview of Markit's latest economic indicators is available for download. ? ?
??????????????????? OECD composite leading indicators point to potential turning point in economic activity in the Euro area and regained momentum in other major economies Download the entire news release (PDF 115 KB) ?10/04/2012 - Composite leading indicators (CLIs) designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue to point to a positive change in momentum in the OECD as a whole but with some divergence between major economies. The CLIs for Japan and the United States continue to show strong signs of regained momentum in economic activity. The CLI for the Euro area indicates a potential turning point but with diverging assessments for the four major European economies. The CLIs for Italy and France point to continued sluggish economic activity. In Germany and the United Kingdom the CLIs continue to show signs of a positive change in momentum but these are weaker than in last month's assessment. The assessment for Brazil, India, Russia and, in particular China, shows stronger positive signals compared to last month's assessment. Regained momentum in the OECD area Link to underlying data - Source: OECD Composite Leading Indicators Database Link to historical data, graphs and methodological information FAQs Glossary of Composite Leading Indicators OECD Business Cycle Analysis Database ?????
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The world in balance sheet recession: causes, cure and politics. Richard C. Koo
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